Club Cobra - Very interesting Article on Renewables

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Very interesting Article on Renewables

Maybe there's hope for fossils after all.

https://quillette.com/2019/02/27/why...ve-the-planet/

From the recent Global Energy Perspective 2019 by McKinsey & Company:

Global primary energy demand plateaus around 2030 after more than a century of rapid growth, primarily driven by the penetration of renewable sources in the energy mix.
Wind and solar accounted for more than half of new power generation capacity additions in recent years. Renewables will continue to penetrate the global energy mix with solar and wind generation expected to increase by a factor of 60 and 13, respectively, from 2015 to 2050.
Despite a growing population with rising incomes, declines in energy intensity driven by a switch to service industries offset increasing energy demand.
Electric vehicle sales are expected to exceed 100 million by 2035, causing oil demand in road transport to decline
By 2050, there could be more than 2 billion electric vehicles on the road across all segments
The number of electric passenger car sales is expected to grow by more than a factor of 60 from 2018 to 2050
Gas continues to grow until 2035, when it plateaus and then declines. Meanwhile, oil and coal demand growth is expected to slow down, with oil peaking in the early 2030s.

Above highlights from https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/...rspective-2019

Access the summary report at https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McK...e-Summary.ashx

After driving from Ohio to Yellowstone, and seeing all the windmills out there, it's a bit hard to imagine 13 times that many.

The electric cars are not a huge planet saver IMO. The power grid as it exists will not support them, if we continue recharging batteries. People are going to sequel when the fuel tax that exist now to support the highways get fairly applied to their electric cars. They are getting a free ride now, but that cannot continue as more cars become electric. They need about 3 cents per mile to maintain the highways. That will cause a fuss.

Unless the bias against nuke energy goes away, electric vehicles are dead as the dodo.

Windmills and solar cost more than the energy they produce, plus transmission issues means you need nearly 100% of capacity ready to go that is non-renewable.

Right now electric vehicles are fundamentally coal powered. Look what happened when Germany shut down it's nuke plants. They are ramping up production of hugely expensive and impractical solar and wind for show, and importing cheap coal produced from East Europe for the majority of their energy needs. Resulting in a net gain in carbon output and pollutants.

And never mind the ecological disaster that is battery production. Luckily those are produced in developing countries where brown people live, so us rich Westerners can drive an electric car and masturbate mentally to feel good about ourselves.